As we know, cyclical unemployment can become structural if prolonged. And as labor costs rise, there is an incentive for firms to increase the capital/labor ratio rather than hire workers. This can be part of the process of creative destruction. It's all explained rather well in this blog post at The Wall Street Journal.
I believe that as technology speeds along at the speed of light, structural unemployment at about 9% will become the new natural rate of unemployment.
ReplyDeleteThank you for recommending Grand Pursuit. It is one of the best books I have read this year.